Banking on Banking on Quicksand

IRCLLCanalysis

By Rohini Ralby and Dr. Ian Ralby The phrase “In God we Trust” has long graced US currency.  Our trust, however, has shifted from God to banks, and to the people who work to generate wealth on increasingly creative, risky and fantastical grounds. As recent headlines demonstrate, however, those banks and the people who run them are far from omniscient, …

Do Your Homework: Even in the Absence of Malice, a Lack of Rigor Can Do Real-World Harm

IRCLLCanalysis

By Dr. David Soud Over the past several years, I.R. Consilium has earned a strong global reputation for analyzing, mapping, and targeting what we have called “invisible supply chains” – the routes by which bad actors move normally legitimate goods that have been turned to criminal ends. As we have revealed in multiple reports, such supply chains are often hidden …

Fault Lines in Turkey: A Lack of Urgency in Facing An Urgent Crisis

IRCLLCanalysis

By Dr. Ian Ralby, Rohini Ralby, Dr. David Soud As tensions between anxious families and rescue workers grew in Gaziantep, Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan claimed: “It impossible to prepare for disasters this big.” That, however, depends on how one defines preparation. The magnitude 7.8 earthquake that hit Turkey and Syria on Monday, the 6th of February 2023, was ferocious …

SPOTLIGHT ON: THE USE OF AFRICAN FLAG REGISTRIES BY HIGH-RISK FISHING OPERATORS

IRCLLCanalysis

By Duncan Copeland Executive Director, TMT and Dr Ian M Ralby CEO, I.R. Consilium A new Spotlight report by TMT, in cooperation with I.R. Consilium, examines both how foreign fishing operators are accessing and exploiting African flag registries for their fishing vessels in pursuit of legal impunity, and how weaknesses in African flagging regimes attract this exploitation. The global fishing …

Unanchored in Ankara: How Turkey’s Ukraine Dilemma May Lead to a Widening Fissure in the Global Economy

IRCLLCanalysis

An Economic Ecosystem of Sanctioned and “Less Popular” States Could Expand a Parallel Global Economy Dr. David Soud, Dr. Ian Ralby and Rohini Ralby Turkish President Recip Tayyep Erdogan’s phone call with his Russian counterpart Vladimir Putin on Sunday 6 March 2022 indicated that Turkey is continuing to walk a fine line, encouraging Russia to end the war but refusing …

The Deeper War: Mind Is the Defining Battlespace of Our Time

IRCLLCanalysis

Rohini Ralby, Dr. David Soud, Dr. Ian Ralby Consider three events that have commanded global headlines over the past several years: the Russian influence campaign around the 2016 U.S. presidential election, the April 2019 bombings in Sri Lanka, and the current invasion of Ukraine by Russia. If we go by surface indicators, the three episodes look completely different. The first …

Geollect Map of Black Sea Shipping Lanes

Ukraine is Not Enough: Just the Beginning of Russia’s Assault on the World

IRCLLCanalysis

By Dr. Ian Ralby, Dr. David Soud, Rohini Ralby The image of Vladimir Putin and Xi Jinping together at the Beijing Olympics solidified, for many observers, the sense that Russia and China really are partnering up to simultaneously strengthen their own relationship and weaken the global power of the United States and its allies. Several major outlets have since raised …